Model konstantní sezónnosti - lineární trend sezónní složka= sezónní indexy měsíc poř.č. prodej trend prodej-trend cj model Jan-14 1 6489 Feb-14 2 5971 Mar-14 3 6272 Apr-14 4 6944 May-14 5 7217 Jun-14 6 7448 Jul-14 7 7259 Aug-14 8 7602 Sep-14 9 7651 Oct-14 10 8064 Nov-14 11 7952 Dec-14 12 8498 Jan-15 13 6930 Feb-15 14 6391 Mar-15 15 6979 Apr-15 16 7315 May-15 17 7798 Jun-15 18 7861 Jul-15 19 7994 Aug-15 20 7798 Sep-15 21 8022 Oct-15 22 8155 Nov-15 23 8694 Dec-15 24 8764 Jan-16 25 7560 Feb-16 26 7182 Mar-16 27 7077 Apr-16 28 7847 May-16 29 8603 Jun-16 30 8659 Jul-16 31 8827 Aug-16 32 8855 Sep-16 33 8337 Oct-16 34 8379 Nov-16 35 8834 Dec-16 36 9709 Jan-17 37 7833 Feb-17 38 7406 Mar-17 39 7791 Apr-17 40 8190 May-17 41 8869 Jun-17 42 8988 Jul-17 43 8736 Aug-17 44 9254 Sep-17 45 9240 Oct-17 46 9380 Nov-17 47 9422 Dec-17 48 9954 Jan-18 49 8442 Feb-18 50 7987 Mar-18 51 8673 Apr-18 52 8925 May-18 53 9534 Jun-18 54 9534 Jul-18 55 9331 Aug-18 56 9877 Sep-18 57 9695 Oct-18 58 9730 Nov-18 59 10192 Dec-18 60 10661 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19