Model konstantní sezónnosti - lineární trend sezónní složka= sezónní indexy měsíc poř.č. prodej trend prodej-trend cj model Jan-19 1 6489 Feb-19 2 5971 Mar-19 3 6272 Apr-19 4 6944 May-19 5 7217 Jun-19 6 7448 Jul-19 7 7259 Aug-19 8 7602 Sep-19 9 7651 Oct-19 10 8064 Nov-19 11 7952 Dec-19 12 8498 Jan-20 13 6930 Feb-20 14 6391 Mar-20 15 6979 Apr-20 16 7315 May-20 17 7798 Jun-20 18 7861 Jul-20 19 7994 Aug-20 20 7798 Sep-20 21 8022 Oct-20 22 8155 Nov-20 23 8694 Dec-20 24 8764 Jan-21 25 7560 Feb-21 26 7182 Mar-21 27 7077 Apr-21 28 7847 May-21 29 8603 Jun-21 30 8659 Jul-21 31 8827 Aug-21 32 8855 Sep-21 33 8337 Oct-21 34 8379 Nov-21 35 8834 Dec-21 36 9709 Jan-22 37 7833 Feb-22 38 7406 Mar-22 39 7791 Apr-22 40 8190 May-22 41 8869 Jun-22 42 8988 Jul-22 43 8736 Aug-22 44 9254 Sep-22 45 9240 Oct-22 46 9380 Nov-22 47 9422 Dec-22 48 9954 Jan-23 49 8442 Feb-23 50 7987 Mar-23 51 8673 Apr-23 52 8925 May-23 53 9534 Jun-23 54 9534 Jul-23 55 9331 Aug-23 56 9877 Sep-23 57 9695 Oct-23 58 9730 Nov-23 59 10192 Dec-23 60 10661 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 Jun-24 Jul-24 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct-24 Nov-24 Dec-24