Detailed Information on Publication Record
2017
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT AND MACROECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS IN THE VISEGRAD GROUP
PRAŽÁK, Tomáš and Daniel STAVÁREKBasic information
Original name
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT AND MACROECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS IN THE VISEGRAD GROUP
Authors
PRAŽÁK, Tomáš (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution) and Daniel STAVÁREK (203 Czech Republic, belonging to the institution)
Edition
COMPARATIVE ECONOMIC RESEARCH - CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE, Walter de Gruyter GmbH, 2017, 2082-6737
Other information
Language
English
Type of outcome
Článek v odborném periodiku
Field of Study
50202 Applied Economics, Econometrics
Country of publisher
Poland
Confidentiality degree
není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství
RIV identification code
RIV/47813059:19520/17:00010953
Organization unit
School of Business Administration in Karvina
Keywords in English
stock prices; macroeconomic fundamentals; Visegrad Group; causality; VECM
Změněno: 7/2/2020 10:58, RNDr. Daniel Jakubík
Abstract
V originále
This study examines the effect of specific macroeconomic factors on the stock prices of selected financial sector companies listed on the Central European Exchanges (Budapest Stock Exchange, Prague Stock Exchange, Bratislava Stock Exchange, or Warsaw Stock Exchange). We investigate the nature of the causal relationships between macroeconomic factors and stock prices. The long-term causality, tested using the Johansen cointegration test, and the short-run dynamics between the variables, examined using the VECM model, are explored using quarterly data from the 2005-2014 period. The short-term causality shows the possibility of time series fluctuations; however a steady state should be achieved in the long-term. In general, we confirmed that macroeconomic fundamentals had a negative impact on stock prices. The interest rate, which also has a negative impact, is the most prominent predictor of the long-run developments. We also found very rare examples of macroeconomic variables that explain changes in stock prices within the VECM framework.