J 2021

Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on Mortgage Loans in the V4

KRKOŠKOVÁ, Radmila and Zuzana SZKORUPOVÁ

Basic information

Original name

Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on Mortgage Loans in the V4

Authors

KRKOŠKOVÁ, Radmila (203 Czech Republic, guarantor, belonging to the institution) and Zuzana SZKORUPOVÁ (703 Slovakia, belonging to the institution)

Edition

Journal of economics, 2021, 0013-3035

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Článek v odborném periodiku

Field of Study

50206 Finance

Country of publisher

Slovakia

Confidentiality degree

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

RIV identification code

RIV/47813059:19520/21:A0000218

Organization unit

School of Business Administration in Karvina

UT WoS

000697125800004

Keywords in English

ADF test; ARDL model; ECM; Granger causality test; mortgage loans; V4

Tags

Změněno: 11/10/2021 16:01, Mgr. Radmila Krkošková, Ph.D.

Abstract

V originále

The aim of this article is to analyze the impact of selected macroeconomic indicators on mortgage loans in the V4. This group of countries was chosen because they are close, both geographically and economically. This paper tries to find reasons for possible differences or similarities between the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland, and Hungary. The article analyses which of the macroeconomic variables (GDP, inflation, the unemployment rate, and mortgage interest rate) affect the volume of mortgage loans. The article uses the tools of time series econometrics, especially the ADF test, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, Error Correction Model (ECM), and the Granger causality test. It was found that there is a short-term relationship between the volume of mortgage loans and GDP for all countries, except Poland. Over a longer time series, however, a long-term relationship exists for all of the countries between the volume of mortgage loans and GDP, the mortgage interest rate, and the unemployment rate. The data used is based on a quarterly time series running from 2005Q1 to 2019Q4.