Detailed Information on Publication Record
2021
Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on Mortgage Loans in the V4
KRKOŠKOVÁ, Radmila and Zuzana SZKORUPOVÁBasic information
Original name
Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on Mortgage Loans in the V4
Authors
KRKOŠKOVÁ, Radmila (203 Czech Republic, guarantor, belonging to the institution) and Zuzana SZKORUPOVÁ (703 Slovakia, belonging to the institution)
Edition
Journal of economics, 2021, 0013-3035
Other information
Language
English
Type of outcome
Článek v odborném periodiku
Field of Study
50206 Finance
Country of publisher
Slovakia
Confidentiality degree
není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství
RIV identification code
RIV/47813059:19520/21:A0000218
Organization unit
School of Business Administration in Karvina
UT WoS
000697125800004
Keywords in English
ADF test; ARDL model; ECM; Granger causality test; mortgage loans; V4
Tags
Změněno: 11/10/2021 16:01, Mgr. Radmila Krkošková, Ph.D.
Abstract
V originále
The aim of this article is to analyze the impact of selected macroeconomic indicators on mortgage loans in the V4. This group of countries was chosen because they are close, both geographically and economically. This paper tries to find reasons for possible differences or similarities between the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland, and Hungary. The article analyses which of the macroeconomic variables (GDP, inflation, the unemployment rate, and mortgage interest rate) affect the volume of mortgage loans. The article uses the tools of time series econometrics, especially the ADF test, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, Error Correction Model (ECM), and the Granger causality test. It was found that there is a short-term relationship between the volume of mortgage loans and GDP for all countries, except Poland. Over a longer time series, however, a long-term relationship exists for all of the countries between the volume of mortgage loans and GDP, the mortgage interest rate, and the unemployment rate. The data used is based on a quarterly time series running from 2005Q1 to 2019Q4.