C 2018

Importance of fiscal fundamentals for sovereign risk spread

SZAROWSKÁ, Irena

Basic information

Original name

Importance of fiscal fundamentals for sovereign risk spread

Authors

SZAROWSKÁ, Irena (203 Czech Republic, guarantor, belonging to the institution)

Edition

Hershey PA, USA, Regaining Global Stability After the Financial Crisis, p. 127-146, 20 pp. Advances in Finance, Accounting, and Economics, 2018

Publisher

IGI Global

Other information

Language

English

Type of outcome

Kapitola resp. kapitoly v odborné knize

Field of Study

50206 Finance

Confidentiality degree

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Publication form

electronic version available online

References:

RIV identification code

RIV/47813059:19520/18:00011107

Organization unit

School of Business Administration in Karvina

ISBN

9781522540267

Keywords in English

sovereign risk spread; fiscal discipline; crisis; sovereign debt; Euro zone; sovereign default
Změněno: 21/11/2019 15:04, RNDr. Daniel Jakubík

Abstract

V originále

The chapter examines the importance of fiscal fundamentals for sovereign risk spread in the period of 1995-2015, and its goal is to test whether stronger fiscal discipline reduces sovereign risk premiums. The empirical evidence is based on unbalanced annual panel data of 15 EU countries (its time span is divided into a pre-crisis and a post-crisis period). The study applies the generalized method of moments. Evidence shows that before the financial crisis, investors generally ignored bond risk factors in individual countries, but that the spreads sharply diverged starting from the year 2008. The results confirm a statistically significant impact of fiscal fundamentals on government bond yield spread. The improvement of the governments' fiscal position reduces sovereign yield spread. In a post-crisis period, findings report the raising of the importance of fiscal variables for spread, and GDP growth became a major determinant of government bond yield spreads, followed by the budget balance and debt development.