KRKOŠKOVÁ, Radmila and Zuzana SZKORUPOVÁ. Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on Mortgage Loans in the V4. Journal of economics. 2021, vol. 69, No 6, p. 627-646. ISSN 0013-3035. Available from: https://dx.doi.org/10.31577/ekoncas.2021.06.04.
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Basic information
Original name Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on Mortgage Loans in the V4
Authors KRKOŠKOVÁ, Radmila (203 Czech Republic, guarantor, belonging to the institution) and Zuzana SZKORUPOVÁ (703 Slovakia, belonging to the institution).
Edition Journal of economics, 2021, 0013-3035.
Other information
Original language English
Type of outcome Article in a journal
Field of Study 50206 Finance
Country of publisher Slovakia
Confidentiality degree is not subject to a state or trade secret
WWW Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on Mortgage Loans in the V4
RIV identification code RIV/47813059:19520/21:A0000218
Organization unit School of Business Administration in Karvina
Doi http://dx.doi.org/10.31577/ekoncas.2021.06.04
UT WoS 000697125800004
Keywords in English ADF test; ARDL model; ECM; Granger causality test; mortgage loans; V4
Tags impakt
Changed by Changed by: Mgr. Radmila Krkošková, Ph.D., učo 48703. Changed: 11/10/2021 16:01.
Abstract
The aim of this article is to analyze the impact of selected macroeconomic indicators on mortgage loans in the V4. This group of countries was chosen because they are close, both geographically and economically. This paper tries to find reasons for possible differences or similarities between the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland, and Hungary. The article analyses which of the macroeconomic variables (GDP, inflation, the unemployment rate, and mortgage interest rate) affect the volume of mortgage loans. The article uses the tools of time series econometrics, especially the ADF test, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, Error Correction Model (ECM), and the Granger causality test. It was found that there is a short-term relationship between the volume of mortgage loans and GDP for all countries, except Poland. Over a longer time series, however, a long-term relationship exists for all of the countries between the volume of mortgage loans and GDP, the mortgage interest rate, and the unemployment rate. The data used is based on a quarterly time series running from 2005Q1 to 2019Q4.
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