Detailed Information on Publication Record
2024
Effect of Quarantine Strategies in a Compartmental Model with Asymptomatic Groups
CHLADNÁ, Zuzana, Jana KOPFOVÁ, Dmitrii RACHINSKII and Pavel ŠTĚPÁNEKBasic information
Original name
Effect of Quarantine Strategies in a Compartmental Model with Asymptomatic Groups
Authors
CHLADNÁ, Zuzana, Jana KOPFOVÁ, Dmitrii RACHINSKII and Pavel ŠTĚPÁNEK
Edition
Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations, New York (USA), Springer, 2024, 1040-7294
Other information
Language
English
Type of outcome
Článek v odborném periodiku
Field of Study
10101 Pure mathematics
Country of publisher
United States of America
Confidentiality degree
není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství
References:
Organization unit
Mathematical Institute in Opava
UT WoS
000688420200001
Keywords in English
Epidemic model dynamics; Asymptomatic individuals; Quarantining; Testing rate
Tags
Tags
International impact, Reviewed
Změněno: 22/3/2024 06:37, Mgr. Aleš Ryšavý
Abstract
V originále
We present an epidemiological model, which extend the classical SEIR model by accounting for the presence of asymptomatic individuals and the effect of isolation of infected individuals based on testing. Moreover, we introduce two types of home quarantine, namely gradual and abrupt one. We compute the equilibria of the new model and derive its reproduction number. Using numerical simulations we analyze the effect of quarantine and testing on the epidemic dynamic. Given a constraint that limits the maximal number of simultaneous active cases, we demonstrate that the isolation rate, which enforces this constraint, decreases with the increasing testing rate. Our simulations show that massive testing allows to control the infection spread using a much lower isolation rate than in the case of indiscriminate quarantining. Finally, based on the effective reproduction number we suggest a strategy to manage the epidemic. It consists in introducing abrupt quarantine as well as relaxing the quarantine in such a way that the epidemic remains under control and further waves do not occur. We analyze the sensitivity of the model dynamic to the quarantine size, timing and strength of the restrictions.