2023
TESTING MARKET EFFICIENCY: THE ROAD TO INTRINSIC VALUATION
GAJIĆ, Nenad, Vanja GROZDIĆ, Jelena DEMKO RIHTER a Jarmila DUHÁČEK ŠEBESTOVÁZákladní údaje
Originální název
TESTING MARKET EFFICIENCY: THE ROAD TO INTRINSIC VALUATION
Autoři
GAJIĆ, Nenad (688 Srbsko, garant), Vanja GROZDIĆ (688 Srbsko), Jelena DEMKO RIHTER (688 Srbsko) a Jarmila DUHÁČEK ŠEBESTOVÁ (203 Česká republika, domácí)
Vydání
FACTA UNIVERSITATIS Series: Economics and Organization, Novi Sad, University of Niš, 2023, 0354-4699
Další údaje
Jazyk
angličtina
Typ výsledku
Článek v odborném periodiku
Obor
50202 Applied Economics, Econometrics
Stát vydavatele
Srbsko
Utajení
není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství
Odkazy
Kód RIV
RIV/47813059:19520/23:A0000413
Organizační jednotka
Obchodně podnikatelská fakulta v Karviné
Klíčová slova anglicky
market; efficiency; stock; price; prediction
Příznaky
Mezinárodní význam, Recenzováno
Změněno: 22. 12. 2023 11:02, doc. Mgr. Ing. Jarmila Duháček Šebestová, Ph.D.
Anotace
V originále
The paradigm of market equilibrium and the “efficient-market hypothesis” tied to it, dealing specifically with the behavior of capital markets, has no explanation for financial bubbles and their bursting that is leading to stock market crashes. Accordingly, the main goal of this paper is to discuss the inefficiency of markets, with examples of corporate decisions that directly abuse such inefficiency to psychologically motivate desired behavior of potential customers. To test the efficiency market hypothesis, we have used Stoxx Europe 600 index historical closing daily prices, for the period from 2012–2022. Using both non-parametric and parametric tests, such as the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test, run–test for random order, and ARIMA regression, we reject the hypothesis that the market is efficient in a weak form because it doesn’t follow a random walk. Also, basic-level problems of economic theory were analyzed, emphasizing the view that perhaps the time has come to align the fundamentals of economic theory with basic concepts that have been used in practice for years.