The exchange rate as a determinant of the development of
foreign trade in the agri-food industry in the Visegrad region

J 2021

The exchange rate as a determinant of the development of foreign trade in the agri-food industry in the Visegrad region

ŠIMÁKOVÁ, Jana

Základní údaje

Originální název

The exchange rate as a determinant of the development of foreign trade in the agri-food industry in the Visegrad region

Autoři

ŠIMÁKOVÁ, Jana (703 Slovensko, garant, domácí)

Vydání

Forum Scientiae Oeconomia, Dąbrowa Górnicza, Faculty of Applied Sciences of WSB University, Dąbrowa Górnicza, 2021, 2300-5947

Další údaje

Jazyk

angličtina

Typ výsledku

Článek v odborném periodiku

Obor

50202 Applied Economics, Econometrics

Stát vydavatele

Polsko

Utajení

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Odkazy

URL

Kód RIV

RIV/47813059:19520/21:A0000249

Organizační jednotka

Obchodně podnikatelská fakulta v Karviné

DOI

https://doi.org/10.23762/FSO_VOL9_NO2_1

EID Scopus

2-s2.0-85108958066

Klíčová slova anglicky

agri-food sector; asymmetric effects; exchange rate; foreign trade; J-curve

Změněno: 12. 4. 2022 08:50, Miroslava Snopková

Anotace

V originále

The majority of empirical studies assume the symmetric effects of exchange rate development on the trade balance. However, we follow more recent studies to show that there are distinctions to be made between the directions of changes inthe exchange rate. In this study, we assume that the effects can be asymmetrical in certain branches of the agri-food industry. This paper aims to evaluate the asymmetric effects of the exchange rate on foreign trade in the agri-food sector in the Visegrad region. For this purpose, we employ a non-linear auto-regressive distributed lag approach to incorporate the assumed asymmetries of exchange rate changes in a model of the J-curve pattern in the case of Czechia, Hungary, and Poland.The dataset on the SITC two-digit level covers the period between 2000 and 2018. The paper shows that there is a clear difference in the effects of appreciation and depreciation. The difference is not only in the direction, but also in the intensity, of the effects of exchange rate changes on the trade balances of food and live animals, dairy products and birds’ eggs, and animal oils and fats in Czechia; meat and preparations in Hungary; sugar, sugar preparations and honey and beverages in Poland.

Citovat

ŠIMÁKOVÁ, Jana. The exchange rate as a determinant of the development of foreign trade in the agri-food industry in the Visegrad region. Forum Scientiae Oeconomia. Dąbrowa Górnicza: Faculty of Applied Sciences of WSB University, Dąbrowa Górnicza, 2021, roč. 9, č. 2, s. 5-21. ISSN 2300-5947. Dostupné z: https://doi.org/10.23762/FSO_VOL9_NO2_1.

@article{55303,
   author = {Šimáková, Jana},
   article_location = {Dąbrowa Górnicza},
   article_number = {2},
   doi = {https://doi.org/10.23762/FSO_VOL9_NO2_1},
   keywords = {agri-food sector; asymmetric effects; exchange rate; foreign trade; J-curve},
   language = {eng},
   issn = {2300-5947},
   journal = {Forum Scientiae Oeconomia},
   title = {The exchange rate as a determinant of the development of foreign trade in the agri-food industry in the Visegrad region},
   url = {http://ojs.wsb.edu.pl/index.php/fso/article/view/374/267},
   volume = {9},
   year = {2021}
}

TY  - JOUR
ID  - 55303
AU  - Šimáková, Jana
PY  - 2021
TI  - The exchange rate as a determinant of the development of foreign trade in the agri-food industry in the Visegrad region
JF  - Forum Scientiae Oeconomia
VL  - 9
IS  - 2
SP  - 5-21
EP  - 5-21
PB  - Faculty of Applied Sciences of WSB University, Dąbrowa Górnicza
SN  - 23005947
KW  - agri-food sector
KW  - asymmetric effects
KW  - exchange rate
KW  - foreign trade
KW  - J-curve
UR  - http://ojs.wsb.edu.pl/index.php/fso/article/view/374/267
N2  - The majority of empirical studies assume the symmetric effects of exchange rate development on the trade balance. However, we follow more recent studies to show that there are distinctions to be made between the directions of changes inthe exchange rate. In this study, we assume that the effects can be asymmetrical in certain branches of the agri-food industry. This paper aims to evaluate the asymmetric effects of the exchange rate on foreign trade in the agri-food sector in the Visegrad region. For this purpose, we employ a non-linear auto-regressive distributed lag approach to incorporate the assumed asymmetries of exchange rate changes in a model of the J-curve pattern in the case of Czechia, Hungary, and Poland.The dataset on the SITC two-digit level covers the period between 2000 and 2018. The paper shows that there is a clear difference in the effects of appreciation and depreciation. The difference is not only in the direction, but also in the intensity, of the effects of exchange rate changes on the trade balances of food and live animals, dairy products and birds’ eggs, and animal oils and fats in Czechia; meat and preparations in Hungary; sugar, sugar preparations and honey and beverages in Poland.
ER  -

ŠIMÁKOVÁ, Jana. The exchange rate as a determinant of the development of foreign trade in the agri-food industry in the Visegrad region. \textit{Forum Scientiae Oeconomia}. Dąbrowa Górnicza: Faculty of Applied Sciences of WSB University, Dąbrowa Górnicza, 2021, roč.~9, č.~2, s.~5-21. ISSN~2300-5947. Dostupné z: https://doi.org/10.23762/FSO\_{}VOL9\_{}NO2\_{}1.

Přehled o publikaci