J 2023

TESTING MARKET EFFICIENCY: THE ROAD TO INTRINSIC VALUATION

GAJIĆ, Nenad, Vanja GROZDIĆ, Jelena DEMKO RIHTER a Jarmila DUHÁČEK ŠEBESTOVÁ

Základní údaje

Originální název

TESTING MARKET EFFICIENCY: THE ROAD TO INTRINSIC VALUATION

Autoři

GAJIĆ, Nenad (688 Srbsko, garant), Vanja GROZDIĆ (688 Srbsko), Jelena DEMKO RIHTER (688 Srbsko) a Jarmila DUHÁČEK ŠEBESTOVÁ (203 Česká republika, domácí)

Vydání

FACTA UNIVERSITATIS Series: Economics and Organization, Novi Sad, University of Niš, 2023, 0354-4699

Další údaje

Jazyk

angličtina

Typ výsledku

Článek v odborném periodiku

Obor

50202 Applied Economics, Econometrics

Stát vydavatele

Srbsko

Utajení

není předmětem státního či obchodního tajemství

Odkazy

Kód RIV

RIV/47813059:19520/23:A0000413

Organizační jednotka

Obchodně podnikatelská fakulta v Karviné

Klíčová slova anglicky

market; efficiency; stock; price; prediction

Příznaky

Mezinárodní význam, Recenzováno

Anotace

V originále

The paradigm of market equilibrium and the “efficient-market hypothesis” tied to it, dealing specifically with the behavior of capital markets, has no explanation for financial bubbles and their bursting that is leading to stock market crashes. Accordingly, the main goal of this paper is to discuss the inefficiency of markets, with examples of corporate decisions that directly abuse such inefficiency to psychologically motivate desired behavior of potential customers. To test the efficiency market hypothesis, we have used Stoxx Europe 600 index historical closing daily prices, for the period from 2012–2022. Using both non-parametric and parametric tests, such as the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test, run–test for random order, and ARIMA regression, we reject the hypothesis that the market is efficient in a weak form because it doesn’t follow a random walk. Also, basic-level problems of economic theory were analyzed, emphasizing the view that perhaps the time has come to align the fundamentals of economic theory with basic concepts that have been used in practice for years.